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Trump Signals Iran War Deal ‘Soon’ as Strait of Hormuz Stays Open, Easing Market Fears

                                   U.S. President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,”   President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,” a comment that helped calm global markets as the vital Strait of Hormuz remains open to commercial shipping. The waterway, which handles roughly one‑fifth of the world’s oil supply, has been a central concern for investors since the conflict began. With tankers continuing to move through the strait, oil prices have stabilized after weeks of volatility. Analysts note that even the perception of reduced risk in the region can ease pressure on global inflation, particularly in energy‑dependent economies like Canada. For Canadian households, a more stable oil market could help limit further increases in gasoline, transportation, and food costs. Equity markets reacted cautiously but positively,...

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Federal Reserve Signals Slower Rate Cuts Amid Economic Uncertainty

 

The Federal Reserve is poised to announce a quarter-point rate cut on Wednesday, reducing its benchmark rate from 4.6% to approximately 4.3%. This move follows a half-point cut in September and a quarter-point reduction in November. However, Fed officials are signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025, with expectations of only two or three reductions compared to the four previously anticipated.

The central bank's policymakers are recalibrating their approach as inflation has significantly decreased from its peak of 7.2% in June 2022 to 2.3% in October. Despite this progress, inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target, and the economy continues to grow robustly. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized the need for caution as the benchmark rate approaches a "neutral" level that neither stimulates nor hinders economic growth.

The upcoming presidential administration's proposed economic policies, including potential tariffs and tax cuts, add to the uncertainty surrounding future rate decisions. As a result, Americans may see only slight relief from high borrowing costs in the near future.




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