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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland Resigns Amid Budget Deficit Blowout

 

In a shocking turn of events, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland announced her resignation from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's cabinet on Monday. The announcement came just hours before the release of the government's fall economic statement, which revealed a staggering budget deficit of C$61.9 billion, overshooting the target by C$20 billion.

Freeland cited disagreements with Trudeau over the government's economic policies as the primary reason for her departure. She expressed concerns about the "costly political gimmicks" and urged the Prime Minister to collaborate more closely with the country's premiers to address economic challenges.

The fall economic statement, tabled by Government House Leader Karina Gould in Freeland's absence, included over C$20 billion in new spending and highlighted the growing fiscal deficit. The government also pledged C$1.3 billion for border security measures in response to threats of steep tariffs from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.

Freeland's resignation has thrown the government into disarray, raising questions about the future direction of Canada's economic policies and the potential impact on the upcoming general elections.



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