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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland Resigns Amid Budget Deficit Blowout

 

In a shocking turn of events, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland announced her resignation from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's cabinet on Monday. The announcement came just hours before the release of the government's fall economic statement, which revealed a staggering budget deficit of C$61.9 billion, overshooting the target by C$20 billion.

Freeland cited disagreements with Trudeau over the government's economic policies as the primary reason for her departure. She expressed concerns about the "costly political gimmicks" and urged the Prime Minister to collaborate more closely with the country's premiers to address economic challenges.

The fall economic statement, tabled by Government House Leader Karina Gould in Freeland's absence, included over C$20 billion in new spending and highlighted the growing fiscal deficit. The government also pledged C$1.3 billion for border security measures in response to threats of steep tariffs from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.

Freeland's resignation has thrown the government into disarray, raising questions about the future direction of Canada's economic policies and the potential impact on the upcoming general elections.



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