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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Iran and Hezbollah Reinforce Assad Amid Rebel Offensive in Homs

As rebel forces intensify their offensive towards the strategic city of Homs, Iran and Hezbollah are stepping up their support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. The recent surge in rebel activity has prompted thousands of residents to flee Homs, fearing the escalating conflict.

Iran has pledged to send additional military equipment, including missiles and drones, along with more advisers to bolster Assad's regime. Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group backed by Iran, has also dispatched supervising forces to Syria to assist in preventing anti-government fighters from seizing Homs.

The city of Homs holds significant strategic importance as it connects the capital Damascus to the coast, a stronghold of Assad's Alawite sect. Losing Homs would sever this crucial link and deal a severe blow to Assad's control over the region.

Rebels, led by the Islamist faction Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), have vowed to continue their advance, aiming to "build Syria" and bring Syrian refugees back home from Lebanon and Europe. The offensive has already seen the capture of key cities such as Aleppo and Hama, further challenging Assad's rule.

The international community watches closely as the situation in Homs unfolds, with humanitarian concerns mounting as civilians bear the brunt of the conflict. The United Nations has called for immediate humanitarian access to all civilians in need and a return to a political process to end the bloodshed.

As the conflict continues, the geopolitical stakes remain high, with Iran and Hezbollah's support for Assad underscoring the complex web of rivalries and foreign interventions that perpetuate Syria's turmoil.




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