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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Israeli Strikes in Gaza and Syria: Escalation Amidst Regional Unrest

 

In a significant escalation of tensions in the Middle East, Israeli forces launched airstrikes targeting both Gaza and suspected weapons sites in Syria. The strikes in Gaza resulted in the deaths of at least six people, including one woman. Among the casualties was Raed Ghabaien, who was killed along with his wife when an Israeli strike hit their tent in Zuweida.

Simultaneously, Israeli forces targeted suspected chemical weapons and missile sites in Syria. This action follows the recent capture of Damascus by Syrian rebel forces, leading to the ousting of President Bashar al-Assad, who has reportedly fled to Moscow.

The U.N. Security Council is set to hold emergency consultations on Syria at Russia's request. Israeli officials have stated that these strikes are aimed at preventing weapons from falling into the hands of extremists.

The situation remains fluid, with international reactions pouring in. Japan has expressed grave concern over the humanitarian conditions in Syria, while the U.S. Central Command has launched its own airstrikes targeting Islamic State group camps in central Syria.

As the region grapples with these developments, the international community watches closely, hoping for a peaceful resolution to the ongoing conflict.



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