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Canadians Are Feeling Less Squeezed — But Fraud Is Rewriting How We Manage Credit

  New data from TransUnion's Q2 2026 Canada Consumer Pulse Study, released July 22, 2026 There's a small but real shift happening in Canadian households right now. After years of headlines about affordability and inflation, a new survey suggests things are slightly less bleak — but Canadians aren't relaxing. They're getting more careful, and increasingly, more worried about fraud than about their credit score. TransUnion's newest Consumer Pulse Study, out today, paints a picture of a country cautiously exhaling — while quietly tightening the locks on its financial front door. The Good News: A Little More Breathing Room For the first time in a while, the numbers aren't all doom. Roughly a quarter of Canadians surveyed said their household income rose over the past three months, and nearly one in four say their finances are running better than they expected this year — the best reading TransUnion has recorded in the past 12 months. Optimism is edging up too: 45% ...
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Market Predicts 50 Basis Point Rate Cut by BoC Amidst Weak Job Data

 

In a surprising turn of events, money markets are now heavily betting on an oversized 50 basis point rate cut by the Bank of Canada (BoC) next week, following today's disappointing jobs data. Analysts had anticipated a more conservative cut, but the weaker-than-expected employment figures have shifted expectations dramatically.

The BoC had previously cut interest rates by 50 basis points in October, bringing the rate down to 3.75%. This move was aimed at curbing inflation and supporting economic growth. However, today's job data revealed a sluggish labor market, with modest job layoffs and weak business hiring, particularly affecting young people and newcomers to Canada.

Economists are now predicting that the BoC will take a more aggressive stance to stimulate the economy, with a 50 basis point cut seen as necessary to maintain inflation at the 2% target and support economic recovery. The market's reaction underscores the growing concerns about the economic outlook and the need for more substantial measures to boost growth.

As the BoC prepares for its December rate decision, all eyes will be on the central bank to see if it follows through with the anticipated rate cut. The decision will have significant implications for borrowing costs and overall economic activity in Canada.



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