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5 Things to Know Today: G7 Oil Release, Pipeline Fast-Track and Ontario's N1 Deadline (Oct. 3)

  Canadian Money Brief • Saturday, October 3, 2026 Markets are closed for the weekend, so here is what moved on Friday and what it means for your wallet as the week turns. Five things worth knowing today. 1. The G7 Is Releasing 100 Million Barrels of Oil and Fuel G7 leaders, Canada included, agreed Friday to release 100 million barrels of crude and refined products from emergency reserves over the next four months, with a front-loaded diesel release in the first 20 days. Washington had been pressing allies to act as fuel prices climbed. Oil barely budged on the news: Brent settled at US$102.25 a barrel and WTI at US$91.11, down US$1.76. Analysts noted it is not yet clear whether the 100 million barrels is new supply or the tail end of the release pledged in March. What it means for you: Diesel comes first, which matters more for freight and grocery costs than for your gas tank. With Brent still around US$100, do not count on a quick drop at the pump. 2. A Weak U.S. Jobs Report Shi...
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Market Predicts 50 Basis Point Rate Cut by BoC Amidst Weak Job Data

 

In a surprising turn of events, money markets are now heavily betting on an oversized 50 basis point rate cut by the Bank of Canada (BoC) next week, following today's disappointing jobs data. Analysts had anticipated a more conservative cut, but the weaker-than-expected employment figures have shifted expectations dramatically.

The BoC had previously cut interest rates by 50 basis points in October, bringing the rate down to 3.75%. This move was aimed at curbing inflation and supporting economic growth. However, today's job data revealed a sluggish labor market, with modest job layoffs and weak business hiring, particularly affecting young people and newcomers to Canada.

Economists are now predicting that the BoC will take a more aggressive stance to stimulate the economy, with a 50 basis point cut seen as necessary to maintain inflation at the 2% target and support economic recovery. The market's reaction underscores the growing concerns about the economic outlook and the need for more substantial measures to boost growth.

As the BoC prepares for its December rate decision, all eyes will be on the central bank to see if it follows through with the anticipated rate cut. The decision will have significant implications for borrowing costs and overall economic activity in Canada.



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