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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Russia Rejects Trump's Ukraine Peace Proposals

In a significant diplomatic development, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has rejected the peace proposals floated by President-elect Donald Trump's allies to end the ongoing war in Ukraine. Lavrov stated that Moscow has not received any official signals regarding a settlement in Ukraine but expressed dissatisfaction with the unofficial ideas being circulated. 

The proposals reportedly included delaying Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and stationing British and European peacekeeping forces in Ukraine. Lavrov emphasized the need for reliable and legally binding agreements that address the root causes of the conflict and prevent future violations. 

Trump, who campaigned on ending the war by the time he takes office, has not officially released any proposals to end the conflict. However, he has claimed that he could end the war within 24 hours of taking office. Despite these claims, Lavrov expressed skepticism about Trump's ability to restore ties between Russia and the U.S., citing the current bipartisan consensus on deterring Russia.

The rejection of these proposals marks a setback for Trump's hopes to freeze the conflict and highlights the complexities of achieving a lasting peace in the region.



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