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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Russian Air Defense Fire Suspected in Azerbaijan Airlines Crash

 

Aviation experts have raised concerns that Russia's air defense fire may have caused the recent crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines plane, as the nation mourns the loss of 38 lives.

The Embraer 190 aircraft, en route from Baku to Grozny, was diverted to Aktau, Kazakhstan, due to unspecified reasons. Tragically, it crashed while attempting to land, killing 38 of the 67 people on board and injuring all 29 survivors. 

Cellphone footage shows the plane making a steep descent before crashing into the ground and exploding. Experts point to holes in the plane's tail section as evidence that it may have been hit by a Russian air defense missile, possibly while Russia was defending against a Ukrainian drone attack.

Azerbaijan observed a nationwide day of mourning, with flags lowered to half-mast and a moment of silence observed across the country. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev stated that the weather forced the plane to change its course, but investigations are ongoing.

The Kremlin has urged caution in drawing conclusions before the official investigation is complete. Meanwhile, Azerbaijan demands an official apology and compensation from Russia.




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