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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Russian Air Defense Fire Suspected in Azerbaijan Airlines Crash

 

Aviation experts have raised concerns that Russia's air defense fire may have caused the recent crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines plane, as the nation mourns the loss of 38 lives.

The Embraer 190 aircraft, en route from Baku to Grozny, was diverted to Aktau, Kazakhstan, due to unspecified reasons. Tragically, it crashed while attempting to land, killing 38 of the 67 people on board and injuring all 29 survivors. 

Cellphone footage shows the plane making a steep descent before crashing into the ground and exploding. Experts point to holes in the plane's tail section as evidence that it may have been hit by a Russian air defense missile, possibly while Russia was defending against a Ukrainian drone attack.

Azerbaijan observed a nationwide day of mourning, with flags lowered to half-mast and a moment of silence observed across the country. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev stated that the weather forced the plane to change its course, but investigations are ongoing.

The Kremlin has urged caution in drawing conclusions before the official investigation is complete. Meanwhile, Azerbaijan demands an official apology and compensation from Russia.




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