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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Singh Rejects Conservative Non-Confidence Motion Despite Using His Own Words

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has announced that he will not support the Conservative Party's latest non-confidence motion, even though it quotes his own criticisms of the Liberal government. Singh stated that he refuses to play Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's "games" and emphasized his commitment to expanding dental care and pharmacare programs introduced under the NDP's former governing agreement with the Liberals.

The motion, expected to be introduced on Thursday, calls on the House of Commons to declare that it agrees with Singh's criticisms and has lost confidence in the government. If passed, this motion would trigger an election. However, Singh has made it clear that he is not willing to vote non-confidence and risk cutting the programs the NDP fought for.

The non-confidence vote was scheduled after Speaker Greg Fergus intervened to pause a filibuster on a privilege debate about a green technology fund. The Conservatives have said they would only end the debate if the NDP agrees to topple the government or if the Liberals turn over unredacted documents at the center of the parliamentary gridlock.

Singh's decision highlights his focus on delivering tangible benefits to Canadians rather than engaging in political maneuvering.

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