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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Singh Rejects Conservative Non-Confidence Motion Despite Using His Own Words

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has announced that he will not support the Conservative Party's latest non-confidence motion, even though it quotes his own criticisms of the Liberal government. Singh stated that he refuses to play Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's "games" and emphasized his commitment to expanding dental care and pharmacare programs introduced under the NDP's former governing agreement with the Liberals.

The motion, expected to be introduced on Thursday, calls on the House of Commons to declare that it agrees with Singh's criticisms and has lost confidence in the government. If passed, this motion would trigger an election. However, Singh has made it clear that he is not willing to vote non-confidence and risk cutting the programs the NDP fought for.

The non-confidence vote was scheduled after Speaker Greg Fergus intervened to pause a filibuster on a privilege debate about a green technology fund. The Conservatives have said they would only end the debate if the NDP agrees to topple the government or if the Liberals turn over unredacted documents at the center of the parliamentary gridlock.

Singh's decision highlights his focus on delivering tangible benefits to Canadians rather than engaging in political maneuvering.

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