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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Third Time's the Charm? Canadian Government Faces Another Tory Non-Confidence Vote

 

In Ottawa today, the Liberal government is bracing for its third Conservative non-confidence vote. Despite the tension, the government is expected to survive, thanks to the support of the New Democratic Party (NDP).

The motion, which quotes NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh's criticisms of the Liberals, calls for the House to agree with Singh and vote to bring down the government. However, Singh has already stated he will not support the Conservatives, making the motion's failure likely.

In addition to the non-confidence vote, the House will also vote on an NDP motion to expand the GST break and the $250 "working Canadians rebate" to fully retired seniors and people relying on disability benefits. These votes come as the House faces a deadline to approve billions of dollars in government spending, including $21.6 billion for housing, dental care, and the national school food program.

The House has been gridlocked since late September due to a Conservative filibuster over a privilege motion related to the Liberals' refusal to provide unredacted documents about a now-defunct green technology fund. This gridlock was temporarily paused by House Speaker Greg Fergus to allow for the spending debate and opposition motions.

As the political drama unfolds, Canadians are watching closely to see if the government can navigate these turbulent waters and continue to function effectively.




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