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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Trudeau Stays Put Over Holidays, Freeland Eyes Leadership

 

Despite mounting pressure from within his party, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has decided not to step down over the Christmas holidays. According to sources, Trudeau will spend Christmas in Ottawa before heading to British Columbia for a ski vacation with his family. 

The Liberal Party is currently in turmoil following the resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland. Freeland's departure has intensified calls for Trudeau to resign, with many Liberal MPs suggesting she could be a strong contender for the party's leadership. Freeland's resignation letter highlighted her disagreements with Trudeau over the direction of the government, particularly in light of the challenges posed by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's tariff threats.

As Trudeau reflects on his future, the Liberal Party is preparing for a potential leadership contest. Freeland, who has been praised for her handling of the NAFTA negotiations and her role during the COVID-19 pandemic, is seen by many as a capable successor. However, her popularity is not universal, with some MPs criticizing the timing and manner of her resignation.

The coming weeks will be crucial for the Liberal Party as they navigate this period of uncertainty and prepare for the possibility of a new leader at the helm.

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