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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Trudeau Stays Put Over Holidays, Freeland Eyes Leadership

 

Despite mounting pressure from within his party, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has decided not to step down over the Christmas holidays. According to sources, Trudeau will spend Christmas in Ottawa before heading to British Columbia for a ski vacation with his family. 

The Liberal Party is currently in turmoil following the resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland. Freeland's departure has intensified calls for Trudeau to resign, with many Liberal MPs suggesting she could be a strong contender for the party's leadership. Freeland's resignation letter highlighted her disagreements with Trudeau over the direction of the government, particularly in light of the challenges posed by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's tariff threats.

As Trudeau reflects on his future, the Liberal Party is preparing for a potential leadership contest. Freeland, who has been praised for her handling of the NAFTA negotiations and her role during the COVID-19 pandemic, is seen by many as a capable successor. However, her popularity is not universal, with some MPs criticizing the timing and manner of her resignation.

The coming weeks will be crucial for the Liberal Party as they navigate this period of uncertainty and prepare for the possibility of a new leader at the helm.

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