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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Trudeau Stays Put Over Holidays, Freeland Eyes Leadership

 

Despite mounting pressure from within his party, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has decided not to step down over the Christmas holidays. According to sources, Trudeau will spend Christmas in Ottawa before heading to British Columbia for a ski vacation with his family. 

The Liberal Party is currently in turmoil following the resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland. Freeland's departure has intensified calls for Trudeau to resign, with many Liberal MPs suggesting she could be a strong contender for the party's leadership. Freeland's resignation letter highlighted her disagreements with Trudeau over the direction of the government, particularly in light of the challenges posed by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's tariff threats.

As Trudeau reflects on his future, the Liberal Party is preparing for a potential leadership contest. Freeland, who has been praised for her handling of the NAFTA negotiations and her role during the COVID-19 pandemic, is seen by many as a capable successor. However, her popularity is not universal, with some MPs criticizing the timing and manner of her resignation.

The coming weeks will be crucial for the Liberal Party as they navigate this period of uncertainty and prepare for the possibility of a new leader at the helm.

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