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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump’s Last-Minute Demands Throw Government Funding Plan into Disarray


In a dramatic turn of events, President-elect Donald Trump has rejected a bipartisan plan aimed at preventing a government shutdown just days before the deadline. This unexpected move has left House Speaker Mike Johnson and Republicans scrambling to renegotiate the terms to keep the government operational.

Trump's sudden demands have sent Congress into chaos as lawmakers rush to conclude their work and head home for the holidays. The president-elect's proposal includes a controversial provision to raise the nation’s debt limit, a measure often opposed by his own party.

Democrats have criticized the Republican opposition to the stopgap measure, which was intended to keep federal offices running and provide significant disaster aid. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries accused Republicans of being instructed to shut down the government, thereby harming working-class Americans.

The bill, already on shaky ground, faced further rejection from hard-right conservatives and Trump’s ally, Elon Musk. Many lawmakers expressed dissatisfaction with the increased spending and other provisions in the 1,500-page bill.

As the deadline looms, the situation underscores the challenges Republicans will face next year as they take control of the House, Senate, and White House. It also highlights the significant influence Trump holds over the party’s legislative agenda.

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