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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Wall Street Futures Dip as Holiday-Shortened Week Concludes

 

 U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday as Wall Street wrapped up a holiday-shortened week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 119 points (0.27%), while S&P 500 futures declined by 22 points (0.36%). Futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 also fell by 92.25 points (0.42%).

Despite the dip, the S&P 500 has nearly recovered from last week's losses, driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve's projection of fewer interest rate cuts in 2025. The benchmark index is now just 1% below its all-time high reached on December 6.

Investors are now eyeing the "Santa Claus rally," a traditional stock-buying season in the last five trading sessions of December and the first two of January. Historically, the S&P 500 has climbed 1.3% on average during this period since 1969.

Trading volumes have been lower than average this week and are expected to remain subdued until January 6. The next major focus for markets will be the December employment report due on January 10.




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