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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Wall Street Futures Dip as Holiday-Shortened Week Concludes

 

 U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday as Wall Street wrapped up a holiday-shortened week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 119 points (0.27%), while S&P 500 futures declined by 22 points (0.36%). Futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 also fell by 92.25 points (0.42%).

Despite the dip, the S&P 500 has nearly recovered from last week's losses, driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve's projection of fewer interest rate cuts in 2025. The benchmark index is now just 1% below its all-time high reached on December 6.

Investors are now eyeing the "Santa Claus rally," a traditional stock-buying season in the last five trading sessions of December and the first two of January. Historically, the S&P 500 has climbed 1.3% on average during this period since 1969.

Trading volumes have been lower than average this week and are expected to remain subdued until January 6. The next major focus for markets will be the December employment report due on January 10.




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