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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...

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Alberta Stands Alone: Refuses to Sign Joint Statement on Trump Tariffs

 

In a surprising turn of events, Alberta has refused to sign a joint statement from the first ministers' meeting regarding the Trump administration's proposed tariffs on Canadian goods. Premier Danielle Smith, who attended the meeting virtually, stated that Alberta cannot support the federal government's plan if it includes energy export tariffs. 

The meeting, chaired by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, aimed to present a united front against the U.S. tariff threats. However, Smith's refusal to sign the statement has highlighted the province's unique concerns about the potential impact on its energy sector. Alberta's oil and gas industry, which is Canada's largest export to the U.S., could face significant financial pressure if the tariffs are implemented.

Smith emphasized that Alberta will take whatever actions are necessary to protect its economy and the livelihoods of its residents. This stance has sparked a debate among the premiers, with some urging unity while others acknowledge Alberta's specific vulnerabilities.

The situation remains tense as Canada awaits further developments from the Trump administration. The potential tariffs could have far-reaching consequences for the Canadian economy, particularly for Alberta's vital energy sector.


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