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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Arctic Chill and Lake-Effect Snow Squalls Grip Ontario

Ontario is currently experiencing a dangerous Arctic freeze, with lake-effect snow squalls continuing to impact the region. The Arctic airmass has brought bitterly cold temperatures, causing snow squalls off the still-unfrozen Great Lakes. Snow squall watches and warnings are in effect for several areas, with parts of southern Ontario expected to see over 40 cm of snow accumulation through Wednesday.

Extreme cold warnings have been issued for all of northern Ontario, where wind chills as low as -50°C are forecast. These frigid conditions pose a significant risk of frostbite and hypothermia, with temperatures expected to remain below freezing for the next few days.

Residents are advised to bundle up with extra layers, limit outdoor exposure, and be cautious while traveling due to poor visibility and slippery road conditions. Stay safe and warm during this extreme weather event!


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