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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Arctic Chill and Lake-Effect Snow Squalls Grip Ontario

Ontario is currently experiencing a dangerous Arctic freeze, with lake-effect snow squalls continuing to impact the region. The Arctic airmass has brought bitterly cold temperatures, causing snow squalls off the still-unfrozen Great Lakes. Snow squall watches and warnings are in effect for several areas, with parts of southern Ontario expected to see over 40 cm of snow accumulation through Wednesday.

Extreme cold warnings have been issued for all of northern Ontario, where wind chills as low as -50°C are forecast. These frigid conditions pose a significant risk of frostbite and hypothermia, with temperatures expected to remain below freezing for the next few days.

Residents are advised to bundle up with extra layers, limit outdoor exposure, and be cautious while traveling due to poor visibility and slippery road conditions. Stay safe and warm during this extreme weather event!


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