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GTA & Vancouver Home Sales Fell Again in August — What RBC's "Recovery" Call Actually Means for You

  September 6, 2026  •  Canadian Money Brief Fresh numbers out this week from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) and Greater Vancouver Realtors (GVR) confirm what a lot of GTA and Metro Vancouver households already feel in their bones: the country's two biggest, most expensive housing markets are still shrinking on paper, even as the Bank of Canada holds rates and the trade war eats into everyone's confidence. At the same time, RBC Economics dropped a report calling this a market that's "finally taking steps" toward recovery. Those two things sound contradictory. They're not — but the gap between them is exactly where you need to be paying attention, whether you're a first-time buyer, a seller sitting on a listing, or a landlord watching your renewal math. What It Means for You: Prices are still down year-over-year in both cities, but the underlying supply picture — fewer new listings, tighter inventory — is the thing actually shifting. That...
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Bank of Canada Cuts Rate by Quarter Point Amid Tariff Uncertainty

The Bank of Canada announced a quarter-point reduction in its key interest rate on Wednesday, bringing it down to 3%. This marks the sixth consecutive rate cut since June 2024. The central bank cited stabilized inflation and a strengthening economy as reasons for the cut. However, it also highlighted the looming threat of U.S. tariffs as a significant source of uncertainty.

Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized that while the economy is showing signs of improvement, the potential for broad-based tariffs could pose a major challenge. The Bank of Canada revised its GDP growth forecast downward to 1.8% for 2025 and 2026, factoring in lower population growth and increased policy uncertainty.

The central bank presented several scenarios in which tariffs could impact the economy, projecting a potential reduction in GDP by 2.4% in the first year if tariffs are imposed. Macklem stated that the bank would closely monitor developments and assess the implications for economic activity and monetary policy.

The decision to cut rates comes as the U.S. threatens to impose 25% tariffs on Canadian goods. The Bank of Canada warned that such tariffs could lead to a recession in Canada, but it also indicated that it might refrain from further monetary policy support to avoid reigniting inflation.

The central bank's cautious approach reflects the delicate balance it must maintain in the face of economic uncertainties and the potential for a trade war with the U.S.




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