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Gas Prices Are Spiking Again — Here's How to Protect Your Wallet as the Iran Conflict Escalates

  Published July 20, 2026 If it feels like you're filling up more often for the same money lately, you're not imagining it. Oil markets jolted higher to start the week, and Canadian drivers are almost certain to see it at the pump in the next few days. What just happened Brent crude — the global benchmark that drives Canadian gas pricing — jumped nearly 4% on Monday to trade above US$90 a barrel, its highest level since mid-June, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate traded near US$84. The move came after the United States and Iran escalated hostilities over the weekend, including strikes on vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz and an attack on an oil facility in Kuwait. That strait matters enormously to your gas bill: roughly a fifth of the world's oil supply normally passes through it. When shipping through it slows or stalls, traders price in a "risk premium" almost immediately — and that shows up at Canadian pumps within days, not weeks. What it mea...
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Bank of Canada Cuts Rate by Quarter Point Amid Tariff Uncertainty

The Bank of Canada announced a quarter-point reduction in its key interest rate on Wednesday, bringing it down to 3%. This marks the sixth consecutive rate cut since June 2024. The central bank cited stabilized inflation and a strengthening economy as reasons for the cut. However, it also highlighted the looming threat of U.S. tariffs as a significant source of uncertainty.

Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized that while the economy is showing signs of improvement, the potential for broad-based tariffs could pose a major challenge. The Bank of Canada revised its GDP growth forecast downward to 1.8% for 2025 and 2026, factoring in lower population growth and increased policy uncertainty.

The central bank presented several scenarios in which tariffs could impact the economy, projecting a potential reduction in GDP by 2.4% in the first year if tariffs are imposed. Macklem stated that the bank would closely monitor developments and assess the implications for economic activity and monetary policy.

The decision to cut rates comes as the U.S. threatens to impose 25% tariffs on Canadian goods. The Bank of Canada warned that such tariffs could lead to a recession in Canada, but it also indicated that it might refrain from further monetary policy support to avoid reigniting inflation.

The central bank's cautious approach reflects the delicate balance it must maintain in the face of economic uncertainties and the potential for a trade war with the U.S.




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