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Mark Carney: The Economist Who Took on Trump and Won

  Mark Carney, a former central banker, has emerged as Canada’s prime minister following a dramatic election that reshaped the political landscape. His victory was fueled by a surge of nationalism in response to U.S. President Donald Trump’s aggressive rhetoric and trade policies. Trump’s threats to annex Canada as the “51st state” and impose steep tariffs on Canadian goods galvanized voters, turning Carney’s Liberal Party from underdogs to champions of Canadian sovereignty. Carney’s campaign centered on defending Canada’s independence and rebuilding its economy to reduce reliance on the United States. His experience as governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England lent credibility to his promises of economic resilience. In his victory speech, Carney declared, “President Trump is trying to break us so that America can own us. That will never, ever happen”. The election results marked a stunning comeback for the Liberals, who were initially projected to lose to the oppositi...
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Bank of Canada Poised for Another Rate Cut Amid Trump's Tariff Threats

 

The Bank of Canada is expected to announce its sixth consecutive rate cut this week, as economic pressures mount from both domestic and international fronts. Economists predict a modest quarter-point reduction, bringing the key policy rate down to 3%, following recent inflation and jobs data.

Canada's annual inflation rate fell to 1.8% in December, largely due to a temporary GST tax break introduced by the federal government. This has provided the central bank with some leeway to lower rates further. However, the looming threat of a 25% tariff on Canadian goods by U.S. President Donald Trump has added a layer of uncertainty.

Trump's tariff threats, which could take effect as soon as February 1, have raised concerns about a potential recession in Canada. The Bank of Canada is keenly aware of these risks and may feel a sense of urgency to act preemptively. Despite the recent deceleration in inflation, the possibility of a trade war with the U.S. could prompt the central bank to continue its rate-cutting spree.

The Bank of Canada's decision will be closely watched, as it navigates the delicate balance between stimulating economic growth and managing inflationary pressures. With the Canadian economy facing significant uncertainty, the central bank's actions in the coming weeks will be critical in shaping the country's economic trajectory.

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