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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Canada's Job Market Soars in December: 91,000 Jobs Added, Surpassing Expectations

 

Canada's economy experienced a remarkable surge in job growth in December 2024, adding an impressive 91,000 jobs, far exceeding economists' expectations of 25,000. This significant increase brought the unemployment rate down to 6.7% from 6.8% in November.

The job gains were primarily in full-time positions, with notable increases in educational services, health care and social assistance, finance, and transportation. The public sector saw the addition of 40,000 jobs, while the private sector added 27,000 jobs. Additionally, the number of self-employed individuals rose by 24,000, marking the first increase since February.

Despite the positive job growth, the average hourly wage rose by 3.8% year-over-year, a slight decline from previous months. Economists have noted that while the job market's performance was better than anticipated, there is still room for improvement, and further interest rate cuts may be necessary to reduce excess capacity in the economy.

Overall, the strong job market performance in December 2024 signals a positive end to the year and raises questions about the Bank of Canada's future interest rate decisions.



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