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Housing Market Outlook 2026: Prices Stabilizing, Demand Still Weak

  If you've been watching the Canadian housing market and waiting for a clear signal — up, down, or sideways — welcome to 2026, where the answer is stubbornly "sideways." Prices have stopped falling in most regions, but they're not exactly rallying either. Meanwhile, the buyers who were supposed to flood back after rate cuts? Still sitting on the fence. Here's what the data says and what it means for your wallet. 📊 Quick Stats — April 2026 National average home price: $695,412 (+2.2% year-over-year) National benchmark price (MLS HPI): $666,400 (-4.2% year-over-year) Months of inventory: 5.2 (balanced territory) GTA average price: $1,051,969 (-4.9% year-over-year) Bank of Canada policy rate: 2.25% (held steady) 📉 Why Are Prices "Stabilizing" But Not Recovering? Canada's housing market entered 2026 caught between two opposing forces. On one side, the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate from a peak of 5.0% all the way down to 2.25%, which should ...

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Canadian Real Estate Association Forecasts Surge in Home Demand for 2025, Condo Market Remains Flat


The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has released its housing market forecast for 2025, predicting a significant increase in demand for homes across the country. According to CREA, the combination of over two years of pent-up demand and lower borrowing costs is expected to drive a rebound in home sales. The national average home price is projected to rise by 4.7% to $722,221 this year.

However, the forecast for the condo market tells a different story. While demand for single-family homes is expected to surge, the condo market is anticipated to remain relatively flat. This divergence is attributed to changing buyer preferences and the lingering effects of the pandemic on urban living trends.

The forecast also highlights regional variations, with provinces like Alberta and Saskatchewan expected to see higher price gains due to already high sales levels and low inventories. Conversely, Ontario and British Columbia are expected to experience more modest price increases due to their already high housing costs.

Overall, CREA's outlook for 2025 suggests a dynamic and evolving real estate market, with single-family homes leading the charge while condos take a backseat.



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