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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Canadian Real Estate Association Forecasts Surge in Home Demand for 2025, Condo Market Remains Flat


The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has released its housing market forecast for 2025, predicting a significant increase in demand for homes across the country. According to CREA, the combination of over two years of pent-up demand and lower borrowing costs is expected to drive a rebound in home sales. The national average home price is projected to rise by 4.7% to $722,221 this year.

However, the forecast for the condo market tells a different story. While demand for single-family homes is expected to surge, the condo market is anticipated to remain relatively flat. This divergence is attributed to changing buyer preferences and the lingering effects of the pandemic on urban living trends.

The forecast also highlights regional variations, with provinces like Alberta and Saskatchewan expected to see higher price gains due to already high sales levels and low inventories. Conversely, Ontario and British Columbia are expected to experience more modest price increases due to their already high housing costs.

Overall, CREA's outlook for 2025 suggests a dynamic and evolving real estate market, with single-family homes leading the charge while condos take a backseat.



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