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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Chrystia Freeland Announces Bid for Liberal Leadership

In a significant political move, Chrystia Freeland has announced her candidacy for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada. Freeland, who previously served as the finance minister and deputy prime minister, is set to officially launch her campaign this Sunday. Her decision comes after a month of speculation following her resignation from the cabinet.

Freeland's entry into the race is expected to intensify the competition, especially with former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney also vying for the top spot. If successful, Freeland could become Canada's second female prime minister. Early polling indicates that she is a strong contender, with 29% of Canadians expressing support for her leadership.

Freeland's campaign is likely to focus on key issues such as economic stability and climate change, areas where she has previously shown strong leadership. Her candidacy has already sparked discussions about the future direction of the Liberal Party and Canada's political landscape.



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