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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Chrystia Freeland Announces Bid for Liberal Leadership

In a significant political move, Chrystia Freeland has announced her candidacy for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada. Freeland, who previously served as the finance minister and deputy prime minister, is set to officially launch her campaign this Sunday. Her decision comes after a month of speculation following her resignation from the cabinet.

Freeland's entry into the race is expected to intensify the competition, especially with former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney also vying for the top spot. If successful, Freeland could become Canada's second female prime minister. Early polling indicates that she is a strong contender, with 29% of Canadians expressing support for her leadership.

Freeland's campaign is likely to focus on key issues such as economic stability and climate change, areas where she has previously shown strong leadership. Her candidacy has already sparked discussions about the future direction of the Liberal Party and Canada's political landscape.



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