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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Chrystia Freeland Announces Bid for Liberal Leadership

In a significant political move, Chrystia Freeland has announced her candidacy for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada. Freeland, who previously served as the finance minister and deputy prime minister, is set to officially launch her campaign this Sunday. Her decision comes after a month of speculation following her resignation from the cabinet.

Freeland's entry into the race is expected to intensify the competition, especially with former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney also vying for the top spot. If successful, Freeland could become Canada's second female prime minister. Early polling indicates that she is a strong contender, with 29% of Canadians expressing support for her leadership.

Freeland's campaign is likely to focus on key issues such as economic stability and climate change, areas where she has previously shown strong leadership. Her candidacy has already sparked discussions about the future direction of the Liberal Party and Canada's political landscape.



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