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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Gaza Ceasefire Commences After Delay, Hopes Rise for Peace and Hostage Release

 

After a tense delay, a long-awaited ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has finally come into effect in the Gaza Strip. The ceasefire, which was initially set to begin at 8:30 a.m. local time, was delayed by three hours due to disagreements over the release of hostages. The truce, which started at 11:15 a.m., aims to halt the ongoing violence and facilitate the gradual release of hostages held by Hamas.

The ceasefire deal, brokered by the United States, Qatar, and Egypt, is seen as a significant step towards ending the 15-month conflict that has resulted in the deaths of over 46,800 Palestinians and extensive destruction in Gaza. The agreement includes the release of 33 Israeli hostages in exchange for 1,904 Palestinian prisoners and detainees.

Despite the delay, celebrations erupted across Gaza as some Palestinians began returning to their homes. The ceasefire is expected to bring much-needed humanitarian aid to the war-torn region, with 600 trucks of aid set to enter Gaza daily.

The first phase of the ceasefire will see the release of three female hostages later on Sunday, with additional hostages expected to be freed in the coming days. The hope is that this ceasefire will pave the way for lasting peace and reconciliation in the region.



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