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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Gaza Residents Return Home as Ceasefire Holds: A New Dawn in Northern Gaza

 

In a significant development, tens of thousands of Palestinians began streaming back to northern Gaza on Monday, January 27, 2025, following a breakthrough in hostage negotiations between Hamas and Israel. The ceasefire agreement, mediated by Qatari officials, has paved the way for the return of displaced residents to their homes.

The breakthrough came after Hamas agreed to release three Israeli hostages, including civilian Arbel Yehud, and Israeli forces began withdrawing from key corridors in Gaza. The first crossing point in central Gaza opened at 7:00 a.m. (0500 GMT), allowing residents to start their journey north. Another crossing opened three hours later, permitting vehicles to pass.

Residents, some carrying infants and bundles of belongings, walked along the coastal road by the Mediterranean Sea shore. "It's like I was born again and we were victorious again," said Umm Mohammed Ali, a Palestinian mother, as she joined the miles-long throng.

The return of displaced Gazans marks a moment of hope amid the prolonged conflict. "My heart is beating, I thought I would never come back," said Osama, a 50-year-old public servant and father of five, as he arrived in Gaza City. "Whether the ceasefire succeeds or not, we will never leave Gaza City and the north again," he added.

The ceasefire agreement also includes staggered releases of hostages over six weeks, with around 1,900 Palestinian prisoners expected to be freed in exchange. The humanitarian situation in Gaza remains dire, but the recent developments have brought a surge of aid into the war-torn region.

As families reunite and rebuild their lives, the hope for lasting peace and stability in Gaza grows stronger.


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