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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Liberal Party Begins Leadership Race as Trudeau Announces Resignation


The Liberal Party of Canada has officially begun the process of selecting a new leader following Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement that he will step down once a successor is chosen. Trudeau, who has led the party since 2013, stated that he is not the right choice to lead the party in the next election.

The party's president, Sachit Mehra, confirmed that a meeting of the national board of directors will be held this week to initiate the leadership contest. The board has the flexibility to determine the timeline for the leadership vote, which will be influenced by political circumstances.

Several potential candidates have already signaled their interest in running for the leadership position. Among the names frequently discussed are former finance minister Chrystia Freeland, who resigned from her cabinet position last month, and other prominent Liberal figures.

The leadership race comes at a critical time for the Liberal Party, as opposition parties are preparing to challenge the government through a non-confidence vote. The outcome of this leadership contest will shape the future direction of the party and its strategy for the upcoming federal election.



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