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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Liberal Party Begins Leadership Race as Trudeau Announces Resignation


The Liberal Party of Canada has officially begun the process of selecting a new leader following Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's announcement that he will step down once a successor is chosen. Trudeau, who has led the party since 2013, stated that he is not the right choice to lead the party in the next election.

The party's president, Sachit Mehra, confirmed that a meeting of the national board of directors will be held this week to initiate the leadership contest. The board has the flexibility to determine the timeline for the leadership vote, which will be influenced by political circumstances.

Several potential candidates have already signaled their interest in running for the leadership position. Among the names frequently discussed are former finance minister Chrystia Freeland, who resigned from her cabinet position last month, and other prominent Liberal figures.

The leadership race comes at a critical time for the Liberal Party, as opposition parties are preparing to challenge the government through a non-confidence vote. The outcome of this leadership contest will shape the future direction of the party and its strategy for the upcoming federal election.



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