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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Navigating Uncertainty: Capital Gains Tax Changes Leave Taxpayers in a Bind

The recent prorogation of Parliament by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has thrown taxpayers into a state of uncertainty regarding capital gains tax. The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) continues to enforce the proposed changes, which increase the inclusion rate from 50% to 66.67% for gains over $250,000, despite the legislation not being formally enacted. This leaves taxpayers with two unappealing options: file based on the proposed legislation and potentially overpay, or file based on the previous rules and risk future penalties.

The CRA's decision to uphold the proposed changes, citing consistency and fairness, has frustrated many who made financial decisions based on the anticipated tax hike. With the future of the legislation uncertain, taxpayers are left scrambling to decide the best course of action.

This situation highlights the need for clear and timely legislative processes to avoid such dilemmas in the future. Until then, taxpayers must navigate these murky waters with caution and seek professional advice to mitigate potential risks.






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