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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Ontario Braces for Back-to-Back Snowstorms: Travel Warnings Issued

Winter is in full swing across Ontario, with three more rounds of snow expected to hit the region this week. The back-to-back storm systems are bringing gusty winds and heavy snowfall, making travel difficult and dangerous.

The first round of snow, a clipper system, has already blanketed eastern Ontario with 5-10 cm of snow, leading to school bus cancellations and winter weather travel advisories in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). Visibility has been significantly reduced at times, prompting warnings for drivers to slow down and be prepared to stop.

As the clipper system moves out, lake-effect snow will sporadically impact southern Ontario, potentially bringing **10-20 cm of snow** locally. Another clipper system is expected to spread snow from Thunder Bay to Ottawa through Thursday afternoon, adding another 5-10 cm of snow to the mix.

The most significant event is forecasted for Thursday night into Friday, with a Texas low developing near Lake Erie. This system could bring a mix of rain and snow, changing to heavy snowfall as colder air moves in. Forecasters are closely monitoring the storm's track, as it could be quite impactful for the region.

With temperatures plunging into the minus teens by Saturday, Ontarians are advised to stay updated with the latest weather alerts and road conditions. The first few weeks of February are expected to be volatile, with an active pattern of winter systems.




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