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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Retirees Face Financial Strain as CPP Payment Increases Lag Behind Inflation in 2025

In 2025, retirees across Canada are feeling the pinch as the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) payment increases fail to keep pace with rising living costs. Despite a modest increase in CPP benefits, many retirees find that their purchasing power is eroding due to higher inflation rates.

The CPP payment adjustments for 2025 are based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the rate of price change for goods and services. However, the 2.6% increase in CPP benefits falls short of covering the actual increase in living expenses faced by retirees. This discrepancy has led to growing concerns among retirees who rely heavily on their CPP payments for day-to-day expenses.

As a result, many retirees are finding it increasingly difficult to manage their finances, with some having to dip into their savings or cut back on essential expenses. The situation highlights the need for more robust measures to ensure that CPP payments adequately reflect the true cost of living for retirees.

In response to these challenges, financial experts are urging retirees to explore additional income sources and consider delaying CPP payments to maximize their benefits. While these strategies may provide some relief, the underlying issue of insufficient CPP increases remains a pressing concern for many retirees.

As the debate continues, it is clear that more needs to be done to protect the financial well-being of Canada's retirees in the face of rising living costs.




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