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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol Fights for Release Amid Rebellion Charges

South Korea’s impeached president, Yoon Suk Yeol, made a case for his release before a Seoul judge on Saturday as the court deliberated on whether to approve a law enforcement request for his formal arrest. Yoon, who has been detained since Wednesday, faces potential rebellion charges linked to his declaration of martial law on December 3, which triggered the country’s most severe political crisis since its democratization in the late 1980s.

The Corruption Investigation Office for High-Ranking Officials, leading a joint investigation with police and the military, requested the Seoul Western District Court to issue a warrant for Yoon’s formal arrest. During the nearly five-hour closed-door hearing, Yoon’s lawyers argued that his decree was a legitimate exercise of his powers and that the rebellion accusations would not hold up in court.

The judge is expected to make a decision by late Saturday or early Sunday. If Yoon is arrested, investigators can extend his detention for up to 20 days, during which they will transfer the case to public prosecutors for indictment. If the court rejects the request, Yoon will be released and return to his residence.

Thousands of Yoon’s supporters rallied near the court, waving banners and shouting slogans calling for his release. The political turmoil continues as the Constitutional Court reviews whether to formally remove Yoon from office or reinstate him.

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