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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Trump Administration Announces Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China Starting Saturday


The White House has confirmed that President Donald Trump will impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China starting this Saturday. According to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, the tariffs will be 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on goods from China.

The decision follows through on Trump's earlier threats aimed at pressuring these countries to halt the flow of migrants and fentanyl across their borders. Despite concerns about potential price increases for U.S. consumers, Leavitt emphasized that these measures are part of the administration's commitment to "promises made and promises kept".

The tariffs are set to take effect without any exemptions, raising questions about their impact on the economy and trade relations. The administration remains firm on its stance, with Leavitt stating that the President is determined to implement these tariffs while addressing inflation and costs for Americans.




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