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Oil Just Hit $110 — Could Canada's Energy Boom Offset the Tariff Pain?

  Published September 13, 2026 · 6 min read Brent crude touched nearly $110 US a barrel when trading opened Friday morning — its highest level since the spring — as renewed Iran-linked strikes on Saudi energy infrastructure rattled global supply. It settled back down to close the week around $104.61, but the direction of travel has been unmistakable: oil is up roughly 9-10% in the past week alone. That's bad news at the pump. But according to a CBC News analysis published this morning, it might not be bad news for Canada's economy overall. The argument: the roughly 0.5% hit to GDP from Trump's tariffs could be more than offset by the windfall Canada earns as one of the world's biggest oil exporters. For a personal finance reader, that's really two separate stories — one that costs you money, and one that might be quietly making some of your money back. Here's how to think about both sides of your own ledger. Why oil is spiking again The latest leg up traces to ...
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Tariff Tensions: Trump Threatens 25% on Canadian Goods, Hints at a 10% Oil Levy

 

In a provocative statement aimed at pressuring North American trade partners, President Donald Trump has warned that Canada could face a sweeping 25% tariff on its imports if its policies on border security and drug trafficking remain unchanged. However, in a notable twist, the President suggested that Canadian oil might be subject to a more moderate 10% levy rather than the full tariff rate, a move that could help cushion the blow for one of Canada’s key exports. citeturn0search2

Trump’s remarks underscore his administration’s strategy of using tariffs as a negotiating tool to enforce stricter border controls and compel reforms on issues such as the illegal flow of fentanyl into the United States. While the threat of a 25% tariff has raised concerns among Canadian officials about the potential for retaliatory measures, the possibility of a lower levy on oil imports appears to be a calculated effort to avoid disrupting an energy market that is critical to both economies.

Economic analysts caution that imposing such tariffs could trigger a ripple effect—raising prices for American consumers and unsettling the tightly woven trade ties between the two nations. As both sides prepare for what may be intense negotiations in the coming weeks, the broader implications of this tariff strategy are being closely watched by businesses and policymakers alike.

The coming days are expected to bring heated discussions as Canada and the United States seek a resolution that preserves mutual economic interests while addressing the contentious issues at the border.

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