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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...
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Trump Announces Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Decision on Oil Pending

 

President Donald Trump has announced that the United States will impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico starting this Saturday. This decision has already caused significant fluctuations in the foreign exchange markets, with both the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso experiencing notable declines.

Trump's decision to impose these tariffs is driven by multiple factors, including the influx of migrants at the southern border, the flow of fentanyl into the United States, and the trade deficit with these neighboring countries. The President has also indicated that he is still considering whether to include oil imports from Canada and Mexico in these tariffs, with a decision expected soon.

The potential inclusion of oil in the tariffs has raised concerns about the impact on energy prices and the broader economy. The United States imports significant quantities of oil from both Canada and Mexico, and tariffs could lead to higher gasoline prices for American consumers. Despite these concerns, Trump has expressed confidence that the U.S. can meet its own energy needs without relying on imports.

The announcement has prompted reactions from various stakeholders, with some experts warning that the tariffs could lead to increased prices for American consumers and potential economic repercussions for Canada and Mexico. The situation remains fluid, with further developments expected in the coming days.



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