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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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Trump Announces Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Decision on Oil Pending

 

President Donald Trump has announced that the United States will impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico starting this Saturday. This decision has already caused significant fluctuations in the foreign exchange markets, with both the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso experiencing notable declines.

Trump's decision to impose these tariffs is driven by multiple factors, including the influx of migrants at the southern border, the flow of fentanyl into the United States, and the trade deficit with these neighboring countries. The President has also indicated that he is still considering whether to include oil imports from Canada and Mexico in these tariffs, with a decision expected soon.

The potential inclusion of oil in the tariffs has raised concerns about the impact on energy prices and the broader economy. The United States imports significant quantities of oil from both Canada and Mexico, and tariffs could lead to higher gasoline prices for American consumers. Despite these concerns, Trump has expressed confidence that the U.S. can meet its own energy needs without relying on imports.

The announcement has prompted reactions from various stakeholders, with some experts warning that the tariffs could lead to increased prices for American consumers and potential economic repercussions for Canada and Mexico. The situation remains fluid, with further developments expected in the coming days.



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