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Canadian Money Brief: 5 Things to Know Today — Tuesday, May 19, 2026

  From Canada's surprise rise to near the top of G7 growth charts, to softening rents, a cooling job market, and a looming trade renegotiation with the U.S. — here's what's moving your money today. 1 Economy & Growth Canada Is the 2nd-Fastest Growing G7 Economy — But Headwinds Loom The IMF now projects Canada to post the 2nd-fastest GDP growth in the G7 for 2026–2027, and the Spring 2026 Economic Update backs that up: the economy grew 1.7% in 2025 while avoiding a recession. Business investment is rebounding — up 2.6% in Q4 2025 — and Canada has attracted a record $97 billion in foreign direct investment. The engine? A relative tariff advantage under CUSMA, strong energy exports, and targeted federal spending. The caution: that momentum is fragile. Higher oil prices, a soft labour market, and a critical U.S. trade review mid-year could all shift the outlook quickly. 💡 What it means for you A growing economy generally supports job stability and wage gains — but don...
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Trump Announces Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Decision on Oil Pending

 

President Donald Trump has announced that the United States will impose 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico starting this Saturday. This decision has already caused significant fluctuations in the foreign exchange markets, with both the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso experiencing notable declines.

Trump's decision to impose these tariffs is driven by multiple factors, including the influx of migrants at the southern border, the flow of fentanyl into the United States, and the trade deficit with these neighboring countries. The President has also indicated that he is still considering whether to include oil imports from Canada and Mexico in these tariffs, with a decision expected soon.

The potential inclusion of oil in the tariffs has raised concerns about the impact on energy prices and the broader economy. The United States imports significant quantities of oil from both Canada and Mexico, and tariffs could lead to higher gasoline prices for American consumers. Despite these concerns, Trump has expressed confidence that the U.S. can meet its own energy needs without relying on imports.

The announcement has prompted reactions from various stakeholders, with some experts warning that the tariffs could lead to increased prices for American consumers and potential economic repercussions for Canada and Mexico. The situation remains fluid, with further developments expected in the coming days.



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