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5 Things to Know Today: Hot U.S. Inflation, BoC Hike Odds, Loonie Slump (Oct. 15)

  Canadian Money Brief | Thursday, October 15, 2026 A hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation print rattled markets Wednesday, just as Canadians wait on their own CPI and a Bank of Canada decision. Here are the five things that matter to your wallet today. 1. Hot U.S. inflation knocks the TSX down 1.1% U.S. consumer prices rose 3.7% in September from a year earlier (up from 3.4% in August), with a 0.6% monthly jump, the biggest in five months; core inflation rose to 2.6% from 2.4%, per the Labor Department. Gasoline jumped 9.1% in the month. CME FedWatch odds of a Fed hike at the Oct. 27-28 meeting roughly doubled but sit near 50-50. The S&P/TSX Composite fell 399.52 points (-1.11%) to 35,584.46 Wednesday, ending a three-day win streak; basic materials sank 4.33%, and all six big banks finished lower. The Nasdaq lost 1.88%. What it means for you: Higher U.S. rates tend to pull Canadian bond yields up too, and that is what fixed mortgage rates follow. If you have a renewal coming,...

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Trump Considers 25% Tariffs on Canadian and Mexican Goods Starting February 1

In a significant move, U.S. President Donald Trump has suggested the possibility of imposing a 25% tariff on goods imported from Canada and Mexico as early as February 1. This announcement comes shortly after his inauguration as the 47th President of the United States.

During his first day in office, Trump signed a series of executive orders and hinted at the potential tariffs while addressing concerns about the borders with Canada and Mexico. Although he did not impose the tariffs immediately, he directed federal agencies to investigate and address trade deficits and unfair trade practices by other nations, including Canada and Mexico.

The proposed 25% tariff could have severe economic repercussions for Canada, potentially leading to a recession and requiring government intervention to stabilize the economy. In response, Canada has prepared a plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on $37 billion worth of American goods if Trump proceeds with the trade action.

Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc expressed cautious optimism, noting that the threat of tariffs might be suspended for now, but emphasized the importance of being prepared for any scenario. The situation remains fluid, and both countries are closely monitoring developments as they unfold.


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