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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Trump Considers 25% Tariffs on Canadian and Mexican Goods Starting February 1

In a significant move, U.S. President Donald Trump has suggested the possibility of imposing a 25% tariff on goods imported from Canada and Mexico as early as February 1. This announcement comes shortly after his inauguration as the 47th President of the United States.

During his first day in office, Trump signed a series of executive orders and hinted at the potential tariffs while addressing concerns about the borders with Canada and Mexico. Although he did not impose the tariffs immediately, he directed federal agencies to investigate and address trade deficits and unfair trade practices by other nations, including Canada and Mexico.

The proposed 25% tariff could have severe economic repercussions for Canada, potentially leading to a recession and requiring government intervention to stabilize the economy. In response, Canada has prepared a plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on $37 billion worth of American goods if Trump proceeds with the trade action.

Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc expressed cautious optimism, noting that the threat of tariffs might be suspended for now, but emphasized the importance of being prepared for any scenario. The situation remains fluid, and both countries are closely monitoring developments as they unfold.


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