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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...
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Trump Considers 25% Tariffs on Canadian and Mexican Goods Starting February 1

In a significant move, U.S. President Donald Trump has suggested the possibility of imposing a 25% tariff on goods imported from Canada and Mexico as early as February 1. This announcement comes shortly after his inauguration as the 47th President of the United States.

During his first day in office, Trump signed a series of executive orders and hinted at the potential tariffs while addressing concerns about the borders with Canada and Mexico. Although he did not impose the tariffs immediately, he directed federal agencies to investigate and address trade deficits and unfair trade practices by other nations, including Canada and Mexico.

The proposed 25% tariff could have severe economic repercussions for Canada, potentially leading to a recession and requiring government intervention to stabilize the economy. In response, Canada has prepared a plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on $37 billion worth of American goods if Trump proceeds with the trade action.

Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc expressed cautious optimism, noting that the threat of tariffs might be suspended for now, but emphasized the importance of being prepared for any scenario. The situation remains fluid, and both countries are closely monitoring developments as they unfold.


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