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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump Orders Expansion of Migrant Facility at Guantanamo Bay

In a move that has sparked significant debate, President Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that he will sign an executive order instructing the Pentagon and the Department of Homeland Security to prepare a migrant facility at Guantanamo Bay. This directive aims to expand the existing Migrant Operations Center to full capacity, providing additional detention space for high-priority criminal aliens unlawfully present in the United States.

Trump's announcement came during the signing ceremony for the Laken Riley Act, an immigration detention measure. He emphasized the need to halt what he described as a "border invasion" and mentioned that the facility at Guantanamo Bay has 30,000 beds to detain the worst criminal illegal aliens. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem supported the move, stating that resources could be established for the "worst of the worst" at Guantanamo Bay.

The decision to use Guantanamo Bay, a site historically associated with the detention of terrorism suspects, has raised eyebrows and concerns among various officials and human rights advocates. The facility, which became a detention site in 2002 under President George W. Bush, has been a contentious issue for years, with former Presidents Joe Biden and Barack Obama both attempting to shut it down during their terms.

The announcement has caught many officials at the Pentagon off guard, with some expressing uncertainty about the number of beds currently available for migrants and whether this would be a short- or long-term mission. The move is part of Trump's broader efforts to crack down on illegal immigration, which has been a central theme of his political career.


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