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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Trump Threatens Economic Sanctions on Canada

 

In a dramatic return to the Oval Office, U.S. President Donald Trump has announced his intention to impose significant tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Trump, who was inaugurated for his second term just a day ago, stated that he plans to implement a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods starting February 1.

This announcement has sent shockwaves through the political and economic landscape, with Canadian leaders scrambling to respond. Ontario Premier Doug Ford emphasized the need for unity among Canadian provinces to confront Trump's aggressive trade policies. Meanwhile, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has expressed reluctance to fully support federal retaliation plans, citing concerns over Alberta's energy sector.

The proposed tariffs are part of a broader series of executive actions by Trump, which include withdrawing from the Paris climate accord and the World Health Organization, as well as threatening military action against drug cartels in Mexico. The situation remains fluid, with both countries bracing for potential economic fallout.


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