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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...

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Trump's Bold Claims on U.S. Independence from Canadian Resources

 

In a recent virtual address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, U.S. President Donald Trump made a series of bold statements regarding the United States' reliance on Canadian resources. Trump asserted that the U.S. does not need imports of oil, gas, vehicles, or lumber from Canada, citing the country's own abundant resources.

Trump's remarks come amid heightened tensions between the two nations over trade tariffs. He characterized the trade relationship as adversarial and unfair, blaming Canada's import policies for the U.S.'s trade deficit. Trump emphasized his administration's protectionist stance, suggesting that the U.S. should manufacture its goods domestically or face tariffs.

The comments have sparked widespread criticism from Canadian political leaders and industry experts. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith called for diplomacy over public threats of retaliation, highlighting the critical role of cross-border trade in the energy sector. Canadian energy analysts have also pushed back, arguing that the U.S. does, in fact, rely on Canadian crude oil for its refineries.

As the debate continues, the future of U.S.-Canada trade relations remains uncertain, with both sides navigating the complexities of economic interdependence and national interests.


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