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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Trump's Bold Claims on U.S. Independence from Canadian Resources

 

In a recent virtual address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, U.S. President Donald Trump made a series of bold statements regarding the United States' reliance on Canadian resources. Trump asserted that the U.S. does not need imports of oil, gas, vehicles, or lumber from Canada, citing the country's own abundant resources.

Trump's remarks come amid heightened tensions between the two nations over trade tariffs. He characterized the trade relationship as adversarial and unfair, blaming Canada's import policies for the U.S.'s trade deficit. Trump emphasized his administration's protectionist stance, suggesting that the U.S. should manufacture its goods domestically or face tariffs.

The comments have sparked widespread criticism from Canadian political leaders and industry experts. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith called for diplomacy over public threats of retaliation, highlighting the critical role of cross-border trade in the energy sector. Canadian energy analysts have also pushed back, arguing that the U.S. does, in fact, rely on Canadian crude oil for its refineries.

As the debate continues, the future of U.S.-Canada trade relations remains uncertain, with both sides navigating the complexities of economic interdependence and national interests.


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