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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Trump's Bold Claims on U.S. Independence from Canadian Resources

 

In a recent virtual address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, U.S. President Donald Trump made a series of bold statements regarding the United States' reliance on Canadian resources. Trump asserted that the U.S. does not need imports of oil, gas, vehicles, or lumber from Canada, citing the country's own abundant resources.

Trump's remarks come amid heightened tensions between the two nations over trade tariffs. He characterized the trade relationship as adversarial and unfair, blaming Canada's import policies for the U.S.'s trade deficit. Trump emphasized his administration's protectionist stance, suggesting that the U.S. should manufacture its goods domestically or face tariffs.

The comments have sparked widespread criticism from Canadian political leaders and industry experts. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith called for diplomacy over public threats of retaliation, highlighting the critical role of cross-border trade in the energy sector. Canadian energy analysts have also pushed back, arguing that the U.S. does, in fact, rely on Canadian crude oil for its refineries.

As the debate continues, the future of U.S.-Canada trade relations remains uncertain, with both sides navigating the complexities of economic interdependence and national interests.


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