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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Trump's Bold Claims on U.S. Independence from Canadian Resources

 

In a recent virtual address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, U.S. President Donald Trump made a series of bold statements regarding the United States' reliance on Canadian resources. Trump asserted that the U.S. does not need imports of oil, gas, vehicles, or lumber from Canada, citing the country's own abundant resources.

Trump's remarks come amid heightened tensions between the two nations over trade tariffs. He characterized the trade relationship as adversarial and unfair, blaming Canada's import policies for the U.S.'s trade deficit. Trump emphasized his administration's protectionist stance, suggesting that the U.S. should manufacture its goods domestically or face tariffs.

The comments have sparked widespread criticism from Canadian political leaders and industry experts. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith called for diplomacy over public threats of retaliation, highlighting the critical role of cross-border trade in the energy sector. Canadian energy analysts have also pushed back, arguing that the U.S. does, in fact, rely on Canadian crude oil for its refineries.

As the debate continues, the future of U.S.-Canada trade relations remains uncertain, with both sides navigating the complexities of economic interdependence and national interests.


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