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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...
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Universities Brace for Impact as International Student Cap Takes Effect

 

Canadian colleges and universities are grappling with significant financial challenges following the federal government's decision to cap international student permits. The 35% reduction in study permits, which brought the number down to an estimated 360,000 for 2024, has led to widespread layoffs, hiring freezes, and reductions in services across the post-secondary education sector.

The Council of Ontario Universities, which includes 20 of the province's top institutions, anticipates a combined loss of $330 million this fiscal year and $600 million in the upcoming fiscal year. "We're seeing across-the-board cuts in programming and services, layoffs, hiring freezes, deferred capital investments," said Steve Orsini, president of the council.

In British Columbia, students are experiencing reductions in library hours and services, as well as limited access to academic advisers. "The work that we do is going to continue in terms of advocating for more funding, especially now more than ever," said Jessie Niikoi, chair of the British Columbia Federation of Students.

The cap on international students has also led to the cancellation or delay of several student residence projects. "It's had a profound negative effect on the sector at a time when Ontario universities are facing significant financial challenges," Orsini added.

Immigration Minister Marc Miller defended the cap, stating that the international student system was set up to attract talent to fill key roles in the labor market but had become "overheated." However, he emphasized that addressing the funding challenges facing universities is not the federal government's responsibility.

Despite the financial strain, both the B.C. and Ontario governments have increased funding for post-secondary institutions to help mitigate the impact of the cap.

The loss of tuition revenue from international students, who typically pay significantly higher fees than domestic students, is being compounded by tuition freezes and insufficient operating grants. "Universities really are facing a perfect storm," Orsini said.

As institutions continue to navigate these financial challenges, the focus remains on advocating for more funding and finding ways to sustain quality education and services for all students.




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