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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...
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US Dollar Suffers Largest Weekly Drop Since November 2023 Amid Tariff Uncertainty

The US dollar experienced its largest weekly decline since November 2023, driven by growing concerns over tariff policies. The currency dropped as much as 0.8% against a basket of currencies on Friday, before closing the week down 1.8%. This volatility was sparked by President Donald Trump's recent comments suggesting a softer stance on tariffs against China.

During an interview with Fox News, Trump mentioned that his conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping was friendly and expressed optimism about reaching a trade deal. This uncertainty around trade policy has kept equity markets on edge, with the S&P 500 index down 0.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite shedding 0.5%.

Analysts warn that the dollar could rise again if US tariff and interest rate policies shift. However, for now, the market remains cautious as it navigates through the ongoing trade policy uncertainties.




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