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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Beijing Promises Countermeasures as U.S. Tariffs Escalate Global Economic Tensions

 

Beijing has vowed to respond with decisive countermeasures following U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest round of tariffs on Chinese imports, further deepening an already strained trade relationship. In a statement released by China’s Ministry of Commerce, the government condemned the tariffs as “unilateral” measures that violate established World Trade Organization rules and exacerbate economic stress. Beijing announced that it would file a formal complaint with the WTO and take “corresponding countermeasures” to safeguard its legitimate rights and interests .

Trump’s administration justified the new tariffs as a necessary response to alleged unfair trade practices, including claims that China was insufficiently curbing the flow of fentanyl precursors and other issues tied to intellectual property theft. While U.S. officials argue that these measures are essential to protect American industries and rebalance the trade deficit, critics warn that the tariffs risk further destabilizing global supply chains and could lead to higher prices for consumers .

Although China’s statement did not detail the specific retaliatory actions it might take, analysts predict that Beijing’s response could target a wide range of U.S. exports—from electronics to agricultural products—potentially igniting a broader trade dispute. The escalating tit-for-tat actions have already raised concerns among market observers that ongoing tensions may not only impact bilateral trade but could also have far-reaching implications for the global economy.

As both superpowers brace for potential further escalation, experts emphasize the urgent need for renewed dialogue to de-escalate tensions and work toward a mutually beneficial resolution .


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