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CUSMA Review 2026: What Happens on July 1 — and What It Means for Your Wallet

The trade deal that governs nearly $1.3 trillion in Canada-U.S. commerce is up for review in less than a week. Here's what's at stake for Canadian families — and how to protect your budget whatever happens next. By MoneySavings.ca Staff  |   June 25, 2026 Canada Day is almost here — and this year, July 1 carries a lot more weight than fireworks and barbecues. On that same date, Canada, the United States, and Mexico are required to sit down for the first mandatory review of the Canada–United States–Mexico Agreement , known in Canada as CUSMA (and in the U.S. as the USMCA). The outcome of these talks will help shape the price of your groceries, your next car payment, Canadian jobs, and the overall cost of living for years to come. If you've heard the buzz but aren't sure what it all means for your household budget, you're in the right place. Here's your plain-language breakdown. What Is CUSMA — and Why Should You Care? CUSMA replaced the old NAFTA deal in 2020 an...

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Canada Braces for Lasting Economic Impact Amid U.S. Trade Tensions

 

The Bank of Canada’s Governing Council has issued a stark warning: a protracted trade conflict with the United States could permanently depress the nation’s GDP level. In recent meeting minutes, officials noted that the uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy—exacerbated by the threat of significant tariffs—could lead to a lasting reduction in economic output.

With nearly 75% of Canadian exports destined for the U.S., even temporary disruptions could force businesses to recalibrate their investment plans and supply chains, resulting in a permanent shift in the country’s economic potential. The central bank’s decision to trim its key policy rate by 25 basis points to 3% underscores the urgency of addressing these risks amid rising inflation pressures and subdued business confidence.

While the exact outcomes remain uncertain, the consensus among policymakers is clear: unless the trade tensions are resolved, Canada may face a long-term decline in GDP growth, along with accompanying inflationary pressures that could complicate future economic recovery efforts. The Bank of Canada plans to monitor the situation closely, ready to adjust its policy stance as needed to mitigate these challenges.


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