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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...

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Canada Fights Back: Trudeau Imposes 25% Tariffs on U.S. Goods Amid Trade War Escalation

 

In a dramatic response to President Trump’s recent imposition of steep tariffs targeting Canadian imports, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced that Canada will levy a 25% tariff on approximately C$155 billion worth of U.S. goods. The move marks a significant escalation in the ongoing North American trade dispute, with Trudeau warning that the retaliatory measures will have real consequences for American consumers and jobs.

In a televised address, Trudeau condemned the U.S. tariffs as an “unfair and divisive” tactic that not only harms Canadian industries but will also lead to higher prices on everyday items in the United States—from food and fuel to household appliances. “This is not just about trade—it’s about protecting our economies and the jobs of our people. If you raise tariffs against Canada, you raise prices at your own stores,” Trudeau stated, emphasizing that the decision was a necessary stand against policies he described as “punitive and misguided.” 

The Canadian government’s countermeasure is set to roll out in phases, with an initial wave of tariffs targeting products such as beer, wine, fruit juices, clothing, and various consumer goods scheduled to take effect imminently. Trudeau’s administration is also in discussions with its counterparts in Mexico, where President Claudia Sheinbaum has similarly vowed to implement retaliatory measures against U.S. imports. Both leaders underscored that dialogue remains crucial, yet they are prepared to escalate economic responses if necessary. 

Analysts warn that these tit-for-tat tariffs could disrupt supply chains across North America and potentially lead to higher consumer prices on both sides of the border. While the U.S. administration argues that the tariffs aim to protect domestic jobs and curb issues such as illegal immigration and drug trafficking, critics on all sides agree that a prolonged trade war may hurt the economies of the United States, Canada, and Mexico alike. 

As the situation develops, both sides continue to navigate a complex geopolitical landscape where trade policies are increasingly used as tools for broader political objectives. For now, Trudeau’s bold tariff announcement signals that Canada is ready to defend its economic interests, even as the specter of an all-out trade war looms on the horizon.


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