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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...

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Canada Fights Back: Trudeau Imposes 25% Tariffs on U.S. Goods Amid Trade War Escalation

 

In a dramatic response to President Trump’s recent imposition of steep tariffs targeting Canadian imports, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced that Canada will levy a 25% tariff on approximately C$155 billion worth of U.S. goods. The move marks a significant escalation in the ongoing North American trade dispute, with Trudeau warning that the retaliatory measures will have real consequences for American consumers and jobs.

In a televised address, Trudeau condemned the U.S. tariffs as an “unfair and divisive” tactic that not only harms Canadian industries but will also lead to higher prices on everyday items in the United States—from food and fuel to household appliances. “This is not just about trade—it’s about protecting our economies and the jobs of our people. If you raise tariffs against Canada, you raise prices at your own stores,” Trudeau stated, emphasizing that the decision was a necessary stand against policies he described as “punitive and misguided.” 

The Canadian government’s countermeasure is set to roll out in phases, with an initial wave of tariffs targeting products such as beer, wine, fruit juices, clothing, and various consumer goods scheduled to take effect imminently. Trudeau’s administration is also in discussions with its counterparts in Mexico, where President Claudia Sheinbaum has similarly vowed to implement retaliatory measures against U.S. imports. Both leaders underscored that dialogue remains crucial, yet they are prepared to escalate economic responses if necessary. 

Analysts warn that these tit-for-tat tariffs could disrupt supply chains across North America and potentially lead to higher consumer prices on both sides of the border. While the U.S. administration argues that the tariffs aim to protect domestic jobs and curb issues such as illegal immigration and drug trafficking, critics on all sides agree that a prolonged trade war may hurt the economies of the United States, Canada, and Mexico alike. 

As the situation develops, both sides continue to navigate a complex geopolitical landscape where trade policies are increasingly used as tools for broader political objectives. For now, Trudeau’s bold tariff announcement signals that Canada is ready to defend its economic interests, even as the specter of an all-out trade war looms on the horizon.


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