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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Canada Kicks Off Tax Filing Season


Today marks the official start of the tax filing season in Canada. As of February 24, Canadians can begin submitting their income tax and benefit returns online. This year, the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has introduced several updates to its digital services to make the process smoother and more efficient for taxpayers.

One of the key changes for the 2025 tax season is the increase in federal income tax brackets by 2.7% to account for inflation. The new tax rates are as follows:

  • - 15% for earnings up to $57,375
  • - 20.5% for earnings between $57,375.01 and $114,750
  • - 26% for earnings between $114,750.01 and $177,882
  • - 29% for earnings between $177,882.01 and $253,414
  • - 33% for earnings above $253,414

Additionally, the contribution limit for the Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) has increased to $32,490 for the 2025 tax year, up from $31,560 the previous year. The maximum pensionable earnings and contributions for the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) have also been adjusted, with the Year’s Maximum Pensionable Earnings (YMPE) set at $71,300.

The CRA encourages taxpayers to file their returns early to avoid any last-minute stress and to ensure they receive any refunds or benefit payments they may be eligible for. The deadline for most individuals to file and pay any taxes owed is April 30, 2025. Self-employed Canadians have until June 16, 2025, to file their tax returns, but any money owed should be paid by April 30 to avoid interest charges.

For more information on the 2025 tax filing season and to access helpful resources, visit the CRA's official website.



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