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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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Canada Stands Ready to Strike Back at U.S. Tariffs

In a determined response to newly imposed U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau warned that Canada will respond strongly if necessary. Speaking at an international summit in Paris, Trudeau described the tariffs as "unacceptable" and stressed that they threaten Canadian jobs and industries. “Canadians will stand up strongly and firmly if we need to,” he declared, signaling a readiness to use all available measures to protect the nation’s economic interests.

The tariffs—introduced by the U.S. administration as part of an aggressive trade policy—target key Canadian exports and have already stirred concern among Canadian businesses and political leaders. Trudeau’s remarks underscored the potential impact of the tariffs on Canada’s vital trade relationship with its closest neighbor. While U.S. officials defend the measures as necessary to protect American industries and address national security issues, Trudeau’s stance reflects a broader commitment to defending Canadian sovereignty and ensuring fair trade practices.

In addition to his strong verbal response, Trudeau hinted that Canada could impose retaliatory measures against U.S. products. Such actions may include targeted tariffs on a range of American goods, potentially affecting sectors from consumer products to industrial components. The prime minister’s approach is designed not only to protect Canadian workers but also to send a clear message internationally that Canada will not be bullied into accepting policies that could disrupt its economy.

As negotiations and discussions continue between the two nations, both sides appear to be bracing for further escalation. For now, Trudeau’s declaration reinforces Canada’s determination to safeguard its industries and uphold the integrity of one of the world’s most significant trading relationships.

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