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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...

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Canada Strengthens Border Security: Appoints Fentanyl Czar and Pledges $1.3B Investment in Exchange for 30-Day Tariff Pause

 

In a bid to defuse escalating trade tensions, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced a series of robust border security measures after a productive phone call with U.S. President Donald Trump. As part of a deal that has paused the imposition of 25% tariffs for 30 days, Trudeau revealed plans to invest C$1.3 billion in enhancing border defenses. This multifaceted plan includes the appointment of a “fentanyl czar” to spearhead the fight against drug smuggling, the listing of cartels as terrorist organizations, and the launch of a Canada–U.S. Joint Strike Force to combat organized crime and money laundering.

Trudeau’s commitment also extends to deploying nearly 10,000 frontline personnel to monitor and secure the northern border. The temporary reprieve, secured through a series of high-level negotiations, is intended to provide both nations with additional time to negotiate a longer-term economic deal. This move comes amid a broader U.S. strategy to curb illegal immigration and the flow of deadly opioids like fentanyl, measures that have sparked a mix of relief and strategic recalibrations on both sides of the border.

The decision to delay tariffs for a month reflects the complex balance between national security concerns and the economic interdependence that defines the U.S.-Canada relationship. While the pause gives Canadian industries crucial time to adjust, Trudeau’s sweeping security initiatives underscore Canada’s determination to protect its borders and its economy against the backdrop of an increasingly turbulent international trade environment.


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