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Canada's Economy Just Grew 3.3% — Here's Why That Makes a September Rate Cut Even Less Likely

  Published August 29, 2026 If you've been holding out hope that a slowing economy might finally push the Bank of Canada toward a rate cut, Friday's numbers just closed that door a little further. Statistics Canada reported that the Canadian economy grew at an annualized pace of 3.3% in the second quarter — the fastest rate since 2023 — and revised figures show the first quarter expanded 0.3% rather than shrinking as originally reported. That confirms Canada never actually slid into a technical recession this year. It's good news for the economy. It's less good news if you were counting on lower borrowing costs anytime soon. What actually drove the growth The rebound was broad-based. Exports posted their strongest performance in 39 months, business investment in factories, equipment and commercial real estate jumped, and consumer spending held up as well. On a per-person basis, output grew at a 3.8% annualized clip — the quickest pace since late 2021, even with Canada...
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Canada’s Counter-Tariff Play: Targeting American Consumer Essentials

In response to U.S. tariffs, the Canadian government has unveiled a counter-tariff strategy aimed squarely at a broad spectrum of American consumer goods. The measures, set to take effect in two phases beginning Tuesday, target products that are both highly popular in the United States and strategically chosen to minimize the domestic impact in Canada.

Among the first wave of goods to be hit are items from the food and beverage category. American beer, wine, and bourbon are on the list, as are fruits and fruit juices—including specialty items such as orange juice from key U.S. producing states. In addition to these, Canada’s counter-tariffs extend to everyday consumer staples like clothing and footwear, along with accessories and undergarments. Household items are also in the crosshairs; retailers should expect tariffs on appliances, furniture, and a range of home wares.

Other categories include automotive parts and motorcycles, reflecting a broader approach that touches on recreational goods and transport components. Even products such as tobacco, lumber, and paper are being targeted, underlining the comprehensive nature of the retaliatory measures. According to senior government officials, the selected items are expected to hit key sectors of the American economy, serving as a clear signal that the counter-tariff strategy is designed not only to retaliate but also to press for a resolution of the ongoing trade dispute citeturn0search6; citeturn0search1.

This move marks another chapter in the evolving trade tensions between Canada and the United States. While the full list of targeted products will expand in the coming weeks, these early steps highlight Canada’s intention to use its tariff tools strategically—aiming to affect sectors where American consumers are likely to feel the pinch while ensuring that Canadian industries, with available domestic alternatives, remain largely insulated.

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