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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...

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Canada’s Counter-Tariff Play: Targeting American Consumer Essentials

In response to U.S. tariffs, the Canadian government has unveiled a counter-tariff strategy aimed squarely at a broad spectrum of American consumer goods. The measures, set to take effect in two phases beginning Tuesday, target products that are both highly popular in the United States and strategically chosen to minimize the domestic impact in Canada.

Among the first wave of goods to be hit are items from the food and beverage category. American beer, wine, and bourbon are on the list, as are fruits and fruit juices—including specialty items such as orange juice from key U.S. producing states. In addition to these, Canada’s counter-tariffs extend to everyday consumer staples like clothing and footwear, along with accessories and undergarments. Household items are also in the crosshairs; retailers should expect tariffs on appliances, furniture, and a range of home wares.

Other categories include automotive parts and motorcycles, reflecting a broader approach that touches on recreational goods and transport components. Even products such as tobacco, lumber, and paper are being targeted, underlining the comprehensive nature of the retaliatory measures. According to senior government officials, the selected items are expected to hit key sectors of the American economy, serving as a clear signal that the counter-tariff strategy is designed not only to retaliate but also to press for a resolution of the ongoing trade dispute citeturn0search6; citeturn0search1.

This move marks another chapter in the evolving trade tensions between Canada and the United States. While the full list of targeted products will expand in the coming weeks, these early steps highlight Canada’s intention to use its tariff tools strategically—aiming to affect sectors where American consumers are likely to feel the pinch while ensuring that Canadian industries, with available domestic alternatives, remain largely insulated.

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