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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...

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Canada’s Counter-Tariff Play: Targeting American Consumer Essentials

In response to U.S. tariffs, the Canadian government has unveiled a counter-tariff strategy aimed squarely at a broad spectrum of American consumer goods. The measures, set to take effect in two phases beginning Tuesday, target products that are both highly popular in the United States and strategically chosen to minimize the domestic impact in Canada.

Among the first wave of goods to be hit are items from the food and beverage category. American beer, wine, and bourbon are on the list, as are fruits and fruit juices—including specialty items such as orange juice from key U.S. producing states. In addition to these, Canada’s counter-tariffs extend to everyday consumer staples like clothing and footwear, along with accessories and undergarments. Household items are also in the crosshairs; retailers should expect tariffs on appliances, furniture, and a range of home wares.

Other categories include automotive parts and motorcycles, reflecting a broader approach that touches on recreational goods and transport components. Even products such as tobacco, lumber, and paper are being targeted, underlining the comprehensive nature of the retaliatory measures. According to senior government officials, the selected items are expected to hit key sectors of the American economy, serving as a clear signal that the counter-tariff strategy is designed not only to retaliate but also to press for a resolution of the ongoing trade dispute citeturn0search6; citeturn0search1.

This move marks another chapter in the evolving trade tensions between Canada and the United States. While the full list of targeted products will expand in the coming weeks, these early steps highlight Canada’s intention to use its tariff tools strategically—aiming to affect sectors where American consumers are likely to feel the pinch while ensuring that Canadian industries, with available domestic alternatives, remain largely insulated.

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