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Ontario's 2027 Rent Increase Guideline Is 1.9% — What Landlords and Tenants Need to Know Before October

  August 16, 2026 If you own a rental property in Ontario — or rent one — mark October 3 on your calendar. That's the earliest a landlord can legally serve notice for a rent increase that takes effect January 1, 2027, and it's the practical starting gun for a guideline that's quietly gotten tighter for the third year in a row. The province has set the 2027 rent increase guideline at 1.9% , down from 2.1% in 2026 and well off the 2.5% legal ceiling that held for three straight years before that. It's the lowest guideline Ontario has published in years — and while that sounds like a straightforward win for tenants, the real story for both sides is in the timing, the exemptions, and what a below-inflation-feeling number actually does to a landlord's math. What It Means for You Landlords: the earliest you can serve a valid N1 notice for a January 1, 2027 increase is October 3, 2026 — 90 days' notice is mandatory. Tenants: a 1.9% cap only applies if your unit is rent...
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Canadian Inflation Climbs to 1.9% in January as Core Measures Edge Higher

 

Canada’s annual inflation rate in January rose modestly to 1.9%, up slightly from December’s 1.8% . The increase was largely driven by a surge in energy prices—especially gasoline and natural gas—which counterbalanced the downward pressure on prices provided by the recent GST/HST tax break on select goods ; additional details were outlined by Statistics Canada.

Core inflation measures, which exclude the more volatile food and energy components, also recorded an uptick. Both the CPI-median and CPI-trim indexes climbed to 2.7%, indicating persistent underlying price pressures despite headline inflation staying near the Bank of Canada’s target range of 1–3%.

Analysts suggest that while the tax holiday helped ease food price inflation—leading to declines in some categories—the rebound in energy costs has nudged overall inflation upward. With the temporary tax break now ended, economists will be closely monitoring upcoming data to determine if this modest rise is a temporary anomaly or a sign of more entrenched inflationary pressures.

By keeping a keen eye on core inflation metrics, policymakers and market watchers alike are preparing for future monetary decisions aimed at keeping inflation in check as new data emerges.


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