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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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China Urges Dialogue Over Trump's Tariff, Avoids Immediate Escalation


Beijing has sharply denounced the Trump administration’s imposition of a 10% tariff on Chinese imports, calling the measure a breach of international trade rules that undermines the global economic order. While the Chinese finance and commerce ministries confirmed plans to challenge the tariff at the World Trade Organization and hinted at taking "countermeasures" to protect national interests, they stopped short of launching an immediate retaliatory strike.

In its measured response, China's foreign ministry underscored that the issue of fentanyl—the potent opioid cited by Washington as justification for the tariff—is fundamentally an American problem. Officials stressed that extensive cooperation in anti-narcotics efforts has already been in place between the two nations, implying that the tariff would not spur a hasty escalation. Instead, Beijing expressed a willingness to engage in frank dialogue with U.S. counterparts in hopes of resolving the dispute through negotiations rather than further confrontation.


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