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Mortgage Renewal Shock 2026: What Canadian Homeowners Need to Know

  The Reality: Over 60% of Canadian mortgages are renewing in 2025 and 2026—many at rates significantly higher than their original terms. While some homeowners will see relief, others face payment increases of 15–40%. This guide will help you understand what's happening, run the numbers, and explore your options before your renewal date arrives. The Big Picture: What's Happening in 2026 Canada is experiencing a historic wave of mortgage renewals. A large cohort of mortgages originated during the pandemic's historic low-rate period—when rates hovered around 2% or lower in 2020–2021—are now maturing and resetting at today's rates. The Bank of Canada staff estimate that roughly 60% of outstanding mortgages will renew in 2025 and 2026, making this the most significant renewal cycle in decades. In 2026, the average mortgage renewal increase is projected to moderate to around 6%, though individual experiences vary dramatically depending on mortgage type and renewal timing. W...

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Data Derailed: $900 Million Cut from U.S. Education Research

 

In a dramatic move that has rattled the education community, Elon Musk’s cost-cutting initiative, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), has slashed nearly $900 million in contracts from the U.S. Department of Education’s research arm, the Institute of Education Sciences (IES). The cuts—announced via a DOGE post on the social media platform X—affect dozens of multi‐year agreements designed to track student learning from kindergarten through high school.

According to DOGE, 89 contracts totaling approximately $881 million have been terminated, with one contractor’s $1.5 million deal to “observe mailing and clerical operations” cited as an example of expenditures deemed wasteful. While the move spares flagship projects such as the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)—widely known as the nation’s report card—as well as data tools like the College Scorecard, critics worry that the broader impact will be felt in the erosion of long-term educational research.

Lawmakers and education experts have expressed strong concerns that the termination of these contracts will undermine the ability to collect and analyze essential data on school performance and student outcomes. Senator Patty Murray, a former preschool teacher and a vocal advocate for robust public education research, lambasted the decision as “bulldozing the research arm” of the Education Department. “Without such research, our ability to pinpoint achievement gaps and to improve educational practices is severely compromised,” she said.

Supporters of the cuts argue that they are a necessary step in eliminating inefficiencies and ensuring that taxpayer dollars are spent wisely. A spokesperson for the department explained that the canceled contracts were identified as “waste, fraud, and abuse” and that the action aligns with an administration-wide effort to focus on “meaningful learning.”

This sweeping retrenchment comes amid ongoing debates over the federal role in education. President Donald Trump has long promised to decentralize education and return more control to the states—a vision that now appears to be taking shape through DOGE’s aggressive budget-cutting measures. However, as researchers and local educators brace for potential fallout, the long-term implications of dismantling a key source of national education data remain deeply uncertain.

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