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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...

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Differing Reactions: Mexico Shows Commitment While Canada Misreads Tariff Mandate

 

The White House has observed a stark contrast in responses to President Trump’s latest tariff order. In official remarks on Monday, senior economic adviser Kevin Hassett noted that Mexico has demonstrated a “very, very serious” approach to meeting the conditions outlined in the executive order. In contrast, Canadian officials and commentators have interpreted the tariff imposition as the start of an all-out trade war.

The tariffs—imposed on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China—are part of a broader U.S. strategy aimed at curbing illegal immigration and the flow of fentanyl into the country. Hassett stressed that while the measures are designed to pressure trading partners to address these issues, “Canadians appear to have misunderstood the plain language of the executive order,” suggesting that Canada’s reaction is disproportionate compared with Mexico’s measured response.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, for her part, has maintained a calm and pragmatic stance, indicating readiness to negotiate and implement additional steps if required. U.S. officials believe that this cooperative posture could help de-escalate tensions and set the stage for further discussions.

Critics on both sides warn that misinterpretations and overreactions could have serious economic repercussions. As the debate over tariffs continues, the administration appears keen to highlight Mexico’s commitment as a model of compliance—contrasted sharply against what it views as Canada’s excessive alarm.


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