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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...

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Differing Reactions: Mexico Shows Commitment While Canada Misreads Tariff Mandate

 

The White House has observed a stark contrast in responses to President Trump’s latest tariff order. In official remarks on Monday, senior economic adviser Kevin Hassett noted that Mexico has demonstrated a “very, very serious” approach to meeting the conditions outlined in the executive order. In contrast, Canadian officials and commentators have interpreted the tariff imposition as the start of an all-out trade war.

The tariffs—imposed on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China—are part of a broader U.S. strategy aimed at curbing illegal immigration and the flow of fentanyl into the country. Hassett stressed that while the measures are designed to pressure trading partners to address these issues, “Canadians appear to have misunderstood the plain language of the executive order,” suggesting that Canada’s reaction is disproportionate compared with Mexico’s measured response.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, for her part, has maintained a calm and pragmatic stance, indicating readiness to negotiate and implement additional steps if required. U.S. officials believe that this cooperative posture could help de-escalate tensions and set the stage for further discussions.

Critics on both sides warn that misinterpretations and overreactions could have serious economic repercussions. As the debate over tariffs continues, the administration appears keen to highlight Mexico’s commitment as a model of compliance—contrasted sharply against what it views as Canada’s excessive alarm.


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