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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Federal Workforce in Turmoil: Mass Layoffs Spark Outrage and Uncertainty

In a sweeping move that has left federal workers reeling, the Trump administration has initiated mass layoffs targeting probationary employees across various federal agencies. The abrupt terminations, which began on February 13, 2025, have sparked widespread anger, chaos, and confusion among the affected workers.

The layoffs are part of a broader effort spearheaded by the newly-established Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by billionaire Elon Musk. The initiative aims to streamline government operations and reduce spending by targeting employees who have been with the federal government for less than one or two years.

Many federal workers have expressed shock and disbelief at the sudden job losses, with some receiving termination notices via email or pre-recorded messages. The manner in which the layoffs were conducted has been criticized as callous and lacking in consideration for the human impact.

The Trump administration's aggressive approach to downsizing the federal workforce has prompted condemnation from unions and legal experts, who argue that many of DOGE's actions may not be legal. The layoffs have also raised concerns about the government's ability to provide essential services to the public.

As the dust settles, federal workers and their families are left grappling with the uncertainty of their future, while the broader implications of the mass layoffs continue to unfold.



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