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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Hostages Set for Release Amid Gaza Ceasefire

 

Palestinian militant groups in Gaza have announced the release of three hostages on Saturday, in accordance with the terms of the ceasefire agreement with Israel. The hostages named for release are Iair Horn, U.S.-Israeli Sagui Dekel-Chen, and Russian-Israeli Alexandre Sasha Troufanov.

The announcement follows intense mediation efforts by Egyptian and Qatari officials to maintain the ceasefire, which has been under threat due to accusations of violations from both sides. The ceasefire, which began on January 19, 2025, was intended to facilitate the exchange of hostages and prisoners, as well as the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza.

Hamas had previously threatened to halt the release of hostages, accusing Israel of blocking aid deliveries into Gaza. In response, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Donald Trump warned that the ceasefire would be canceled if the hostages were not released.

The release of the three hostages is part of a larger agreement that includes the exchange of hundreds of Palestinian prisoners and detainees. The ceasefire aims to pave the way for further negotiations to secure the release of remaining hostages and to rebuild Gaza after 15 months of devastating conflict.

The situation remains tense, with both sides accusing each other of breaching the agreement. However, the release of these hostages is seen as a positive step towards maintaining the fragile ceasefire and moving towards a more stable and peaceful resolution.


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