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Carney's Retaliation List: What It Could Mean for Your Grocery Bill

  Published August 22, 2026 · Canadian Money Brief The 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $28 billion of Canadian goods are no longer a threat — they took effect at 12:01 a.m. Saturday after last-minute talks between Ottawa and Washington collapsed Friday night. Prime Minister Mark Carney responded by suspending negotiations entirely and promising to hit back "dollar for dollar." Unlike the tariff deadline itself, this part isn't happening tonight: Carney says Canada's countermeasures won't take effect until September 8 , and the exact product list is still being finalized. That two-and-a-half week gap matters for your wallet. It's a window where the general shape of the retaliation is known, but the fine print — the specific products, the exact surtax rates, which exemptions get carved out — is still being written in Ottawa. Here's what's confirmed, what history tells us to expect, and how to think about the impact on your own spending. What's confirmed ...

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Market Turmoil as U.S. Consumer Confidence Plummets

In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. consumer confidence experienced its steepest decline in three and a half years, sending shockwaves through the stock market. The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell to 98.3 in February, down from 105.3 in January. This seven-point drop marks the largest single-month decline since August 2021.

The decline in consumer confidence has been attributed to a mix of factors, including rising inflation, concerns over tariffs, and uncertainty surrounding the policies of President Donald Trump. Stephanie Guichard, senior economist for Global Indicators at The Conference Board, noted that consumers became increasingly pessimistic about future business conditions and less optimistic about future income.

The impact of this decline was felt across the stock market, with major indices experiencing significant losses. The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 1.4%, while the S&P 500 shed 0.5%. Investors are now closely watching upcoming economic data releases, particularly Friday's inflation report, for further insights into the state of the U.S. economy.

As consumer confidence wanes, the outlook for the U.S. economy remains uncertain. The potential for a recession looms large, with the Conference Board's expectations index dropping below the threshold that typically signals a recession ahead. For now, both consumers and investors are left grappling with the implications of this sudden shift in sentiment.


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