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Trump Signals Iran War Deal ‘Soon’ as Strait of Hormuz Stays Open, Easing Market Fears

                                   U.S. President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,”   President Donald Trump said a deal to end the Iran war could come “soon,” a comment that helped calm global markets as the vital Strait of Hormuz remains open to commercial shipping. The waterway, which handles roughly one‑fifth of the world’s oil supply, has been a central concern for investors since the conflict began. With tankers continuing to move through the strait, oil prices have stabilized after weeks of volatility. Analysts note that even the perception of reduced risk in the region can ease pressure on global inflation, particularly in energy‑dependent economies like Canada. For Canadian households, a more stable oil market could help limit further increases in gasoline, transportation, and food costs. Equity markets reacted cautiously but positively,...
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Market Turmoil as U.S. Consumer Confidence Plummets

In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. consumer confidence experienced its steepest decline in three and a half years, sending shockwaves through the stock market. The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell to 98.3 in February, down from 105.3 in January. This seven-point drop marks the largest single-month decline since August 2021.

The decline in consumer confidence has been attributed to a mix of factors, including rising inflation, concerns over tariffs, and uncertainty surrounding the policies of President Donald Trump. Stephanie Guichard, senior economist for Global Indicators at The Conference Board, noted that consumers became increasingly pessimistic about future business conditions and less optimistic about future income.

The impact of this decline was felt across the stock market, with major indices experiencing significant losses. The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 1.4%, while the S&P 500 shed 0.5%. Investors are now closely watching upcoming economic data releases, particularly Friday's inflation report, for further insights into the state of the U.S. economy.

As consumer confidence wanes, the outlook for the U.S. economy remains uncertain. The potential for a recession looms large, with the Conference Board's expectations index dropping below the threshold that typically signals a recession ahead. For now, both consumers and investors are left grappling with the implications of this sudden shift in sentiment.


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