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Shopify Just Pushed the TSX to a Record — Should You Be Buying, or Is It Too Late?

  Published August 6, 2026 If you glanced at the markets on Wednesday and saw the TSX hit another record high, there's a good chance one company did most of the heavy lifting: Shopify. The S&P/TSX Composite closed up 344.83 points, or 1%, at 36,146.42 on August 5 — its second straight record close. Shopify shares jumped 16.5%, their biggest one-day move in a year, after the Ottawa-based e-commerce company beat earnings expectations and issued a stronger-than-expected outlook for the rest of the year. Gold miners added to the rally too, as bullion prices climbed. What It Means for You: If you own a Canadian equity index fund or ETF in your RRSP or TFSA, you almost certainly own a slice of this move already — whether you meant to or not. What actually happened Shopify reported second-quarter revenue of $3.58 billion (U.S.), up 34% from a year earlier and well ahead of the roughly $3.45 billion analysts expected. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.42 a share versus the $0.40 expecte...

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Market Turmoil as U.S. Consumer Confidence Plummets

In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. consumer confidence experienced its steepest decline in three and a half years, sending shockwaves through the stock market. The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index fell to 98.3 in February, down from 105.3 in January. This seven-point drop marks the largest single-month decline since August 2021.

The decline in consumer confidence has been attributed to a mix of factors, including rising inflation, concerns over tariffs, and uncertainty surrounding the policies of President Donald Trump. Stephanie Guichard, senior economist for Global Indicators at The Conference Board, noted that consumers became increasingly pessimistic about future business conditions and less optimistic about future income.

The impact of this decline was felt across the stock market, with major indices experiencing significant losses. The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 1.4%, while the S&P 500 shed 0.5%. Investors are now closely watching upcoming economic data releases, particularly Friday's inflation report, for further insights into the state of the U.S. economy.

As consumer confidence wanes, the outlook for the U.S. economy remains uncertain. The potential for a recession looms large, with the Conference Board's expectations index dropping below the threshold that typically signals a recession ahead. For now, both consumers and investors are left grappling with the implications of this sudden shift in sentiment.


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