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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Market Turmoil: U.S. Stocks Plunge Amid Trump Tariff Fears

 

U.S. stocks experienced a significant decline on Friday as concerns over President Donald Trump's tariff policies spread among businesses and consumers. The S&P 500 fell by 1.7%, marking its worst day in two months, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 748 points, or 1.7%, and the Nasdaq composite tumbled 2.2%.

The losses accelerated throughout the day following several weaker-than-expected economic reports. One report suggested that U.S. business activity is close to stalling, with growth slowing to a 17-month low. The preliminary report from S&P Global indicated that activity unexpectedly shrank for U.S. services businesses, with many in the survey reporting slumping optimism due to concerns about Washington.

Additionally, a separate report revealed that U.S. consumers are preparing for higher inflation, partly due to potential tariffs that could raise prices for various imports. The University of Michigan's survey showed that consumers broadly expect prices to be 4.3% higher 12 months from now, a significant jump from their forecast of 3.3% inflation last month.

The stock market's decline was widespread, with stocks of the smallest companies, whose profits are more closely tied to the strength of the U.S. economy, falling more than the rest of the market. The Russell 2000 index of small stocks dropped by 2.9%. Within the S&P 500 index, three out of every four stocks fell, including Big Tech stocks, airlines, and metals companies.

Despite the recent downturn, the U.S. stock market remains up for the year so far and is not far from its all-time high set earlier this week. However, Friday's reports have raised concerns about the resilience of the economy, and the losses on Wall Street were widespread.


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